Dse 2023-24: различия между версиями

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'''Week 1. 2023-09-04''' Entropy
'''Week 1. 2023-09-04''': Entropy


Guessing game, conditional entropy, joint entropy.
Guessing game, conditional entropy, joint entropy.
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(rus) https://exuberant-arthropod-be8.notion.site/1-02-09-5e107ea1c4054594b8f37d955db8a2b0
(rus) https://exuberant-arthropod-be8.notion.site/1-02-09-5e107ea1c4054594b8f37d955db8a2b0


Week 2. Kelly criterion
'''Week 2.''': Kelly criterion


Class: group by, reshape and join
Class: group by, reshape and join


Week 3. Trees
'''Week 3.''': Trees


Class: Trees (regression + classification) + tree visualization
Class: Trees (regression + classification) + tree visualization


Week 4. Random forest + Data splitting strategies
'''Week 4.''' Random forest + Data splitting strategies


Class: Random forest, cross-validation in sklearn, feature importance,  
Class: Random forest, cross-validation in sklearn, feature importance,  


Week 5. Gradient boosting
'''Week 5.''': Gradient boosting


Class: XGBoost vs LightGBM, Dummy variables, categorical variables and Catboost  
Class: XGBoost vs LightGBM, Dummy variables, categorical variables and Catboost  


Week 6. Naive bootstrap, t-stat bootstrap, permutation tests
'''Week 6.''': Naive bootstrap, t-stat bootstrap, permutation tests


Class: Hypothesis testing  
Class: Hypothesis testing  
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https://arch.readthedocs.io/en/latest/bootstrap/bootstrap.html
https://arch.readthedocs.io/en/latest/bootstrap/bootstrap.html


Week 7. Matrices in regression
'''Week 7.''': Matrices in regression


Class: (by hand) Differential in matrix form, derivation of formulas for beta.
Class: (by hand) Differential in matrix form, derivation of formulas for beta.


Here will be <del>dragons</del> midterm!
'''Here will be <del>dragons</del> midterm!'''




Week 8. SVD = PCA
'''Week 8.''': SVD = PCA


Class: (by hand) Covariance matrices,  
Class: (by hand) Covariance matrices,  




Week 9. James Stein paradox
'''Week 9.''': James Stein paradox


Class: Matrices in numpy, PCA in sklearn, SVD
Class: Matrices in numpy, PCA in sklearn, SVD


Week 10. L1, L2 regularization
'''Week 10.''': L1, L2 regularization


Class: Regression in sklearn, different type of regularisation
Class: Regression in sklearn, different type of regularisation


Week 11. Log regression + L1/L2
'''Week 11.''': Log regression + L1/L2


Class: Log regression (sklearn/statsmodels) + L1/L2
Class: Log regression (sklearn/statsmodels) + L1/L2


Week 12. Hierarchical clustering + k-means
'''Week 12.''': Hierarchical clustering + k-means


Class: Hierarchical clustering + k-means
Class: Hierarchical clustering + k-means


Week 13. ETS (Exponential Smoothing)
'''Week 13.''': ETS (Exponential Smoothing)


Class: Plotting time series, ETS (sktime)
Class: Plotting time series, ETS (sktime)
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https://www.sktime.net/en/stable/examples/01_forecasting.html
https://www.sktime.net/en/stable/examples/01_forecasting.html


Week 14. Bayesian approach
'''Week 14.''': Bayesian approach


Class: TS forecasting with grad boosting  
Class: TS forecasting with grad boosting  


Week 15. Mention of MCMC + DLT
'''Week 15.''': Mention of MCMC + DLT


Class: DLT in python
Class: DLT in python
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https://www.uber.com/blog/orbit/
https://www.uber.com/blog/orbit/


Week 16.QA  
'''Week 16.''': QA  


Class: QA
Class: QA


Here will be <del>dragons</del> final!
Here will be <del>dragons</del> final!

Версия от 13:01, 4 сентября 2023

General course info

16 lectures plus 16 classes

  • Boring official web page

Fall grade = 0.2 Small HAs + 0.2 Group project + 0.3 Midterm + 0.3 Final

Each small HA consists of approximately 4 or 5 problems.

Lecturer: Boris Demeshev

Class teachers: Yana Khassan, Shuana Pirbudagova

Log Book or Tentative Plan

Week 1. 2023-09-04: Entropy

Guessing game, conditional entropy, joint entropy.

Class: data manipulation, data vizualization

More:

(rus) https://exuberant-arthropod-be8.notion.site/1-02-09-5e107ea1c4054594b8f37d955db8a2b0

Week 2.: Kelly criterion

Class: group by, reshape and join

Week 3.: Trees

Class: Trees (regression + classification) + tree visualization

Week 4. Random forest + Data splitting strategies

Class: Random forest, cross-validation in sklearn, feature importance,

Week 5.: Gradient boosting

Class: XGBoost vs LightGBM, Dummy variables, categorical variables and Catboost

Week 6.: Naive bootstrap, t-stat bootstrap, permutation tests

Class: Hypothesis testing

More:

https://arch.readthedocs.io/en/latest/bootstrap/bootstrap.html

Week 7.: Matrices in regression

Class: (by hand) Differential in matrix form, derivation of formulas for beta.

Here will be dragons midterm!


Week 8.: SVD = PCA

Class: (by hand) Covariance matrices,


Week 9.: James Stein paradox

Class: Matrices in numpy, PCA in sklearn, SVD

Week 10.: L1, L2 regularization

Class: Regression in sklearn, different type of regularisation

Week 11.: Log regression + L1/L2

Class: Log regression (sklearn/statsmodels) + L1/L2

Week 12.: Hierarchical clustering + k-means

Class: Hierarchical clustering + k-means

Week 13.: ETS (Exponential Smoothing)

Class: Plotting time series, ETS (sktime)

More:

https://www.sktime.net/en/stable/examples/01_forecasting.html

Week 14.: Bayesian approach

Class: TS forecasting with grad boosting

Week 15.: Mention of MCMC + DLT

Class: DLT in python

More:

Mcmc visualization: https://chi-feng.github.io/mcmc-demo/app.html?algorithm=SVGD&target=banana&delay=0

https://www.uber.com/blog/orbit/

Week 16.: QA

Class: QA

Here will be dragons final!